Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos
NFL 2026 · Week 16 · · Empower Field at Mile High
Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos, Week 16 of the 2026 season, Fri 25 Dec, 21:30 UK time.
Where to watch (UK)
Watch live
- DAZN NFL Game Pass · Requires DAZN subscription · also via DAZN app · Watch
NFL Game Pass on DAZN streams this game live.
Sky Sports picks its other games each week. NFL TV Guide
Prediction
The model’s prediction appears here about a week before kick-off.
Denver Broncos
LWWWW
Buffalo Bills
WWWLW
Form is each team’s last 5 games before this one, home and away (the season is only 17 games), oldest to newest; play-offs included.
2026 season so far
| Broncos | Bills | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-2 | 6-1 |
| Points per game | 21.5 | 33.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 20.6 | 25.9 |
| Points difference | +7 | +52 |
| Against the spread (W-L-P) | 6-2 | 5-2 |
Head-to-head record
The two are level at 6 wins each in 12 meetings since 2002.
| P | Broncos | T | Bills | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All meetings | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| At Denver Broncos | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
- Biggest Denver Broncos win
- Denver Broncos 28–17 Buffalo Bills (2005 Week 15)
- Biggest Buffalo Bills win
- Buffalo Bills 48–19 Denver Broncos (2020 Week 15)
- Average points per meeting
- 46.0
- Denver Broncos against the spread (W-L-P)
- 3-9
Head-to-head (last 10)
- Buffalo Bills 30–33 Denver Broncos (OT)2025 Divisional round · line DEN −1.5 (Broncos covered)
- Denver Broncos 7–31 Buffalo Bills2024 Wild card round · line BUF −7.5 (Broncos did not cover)
- Denver Broncos 24–22 Buffalo Bills2023 Week 10 · line BUF −7.5 (Broncos covered)
- Buffalo Bills 48–19 Denver Broncos2020 Week 15 · line BUF −5.5 (Broncos did not cover)
- Denver Broncos 3–20 Buffalo Bills2019 Week 12 · line BUF −3.5 (Broncos did not cover)
- Denver Broncos 16–26 Buffalo Bills2017 Week 3 · line DEN −3.5 (Broncos did not cover)
- Buffalo Bills 17–24 Denver Broncos2014 Week 14 · line DEN −9 (Broncos did not cover)
- Denver Broncos 14–40 Buffalo Bills2011 Week 16 · line DEN −3 (Broncos did not cover)
- Buffalo Bills 30–23 Denver Broncos2008 Week 16 · line DEN −6.5 (Broncos did not cover)
- Denver Broncos 15–14 Buffalo Bills2007 Week 1 · line DEN −3 (Broncos did not cover)
Recent games
Denver Broncos
- Wv Kansas City ChiefsWeek 8 · covered DEN −1.528–24
- W@ Arizona CardinalsWeek 7 · covered DEN −4.530–16
- Wv Seattle SeahawksWeek 6 · covered SEA −2.517–14 (OT)
- W@ Los Angeles ChargersWeek 5 · covered DEN −3.523–17
- L@ San Francisco 49ersWeek 4 · did not cover SF −314–24
- Wv Los Angeles RamsWeek 3 · covered DEN −1.530–26
- Wv Jacksonville JaguarsWeek 2 · covered DEN −2.520–13
- L@ Kansas City ChiefsWeek 1 · did not cover KC −2.510–31
- Lv New England Patriots2025 Conference championships · covered NE −3.57–10
- Wv Buffalo Bills2025 Divisional round · covered DEN −1.533–30 (OT)
Recent games
Buffalo Bills
- Wv Baltimore RavensWeek 8 · covered BUF −336–10
- W@ Las Vegas RaidersWeek 6 · did not cover BUF −5.533–30
- W@ Los Angeles RamsWeek 5 · covered LA −3.537–34 (OT)
- Lv New England PatriotsWeek 4 · did not cover BUF −726–29
- Wv Los Angeles ChargersWeek 3 · covered BUF −724–16
- Wv Detroit LionsWeek 2 · covered BUF −5.541–31
- W@ Houston TexansWeek 1 · covered BUF −1.536–31
- L@ Denver Broncos2025 Divisional round · did not cover DEN −1.530–33 (OT)
- W@ Jacksonville Jaguars2025 Wild card round · covered JAX −1.527–24
- Wv New York Jets2025 Week 18 · covered BUF −12.535–8