New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
NFL 2026 · Week 4 · · Highmark Stadium · division game
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills, Week 4 of the 2026 season: New England Patriots won 29–26.
Result
New England Patriots 29–26 Buffalo Bills
Closing line BUF −7, total 49.5 (went over). New England Patriots covered.
What the model predicted beforehand
No model prediction was made before this game kicked off (predictions are only shown if they were made beforehand). The betting line is BUF −7, total 49.5.
Buffalo Bills
WLWWW
New England Patriots
LWLLW
Form is each team’s last 5 games before this one, home and away (the season is only 17 games), oldest to newest; play-offs included.
2026 season before this game
| Bills | Patriots | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Points per game | 33.7 | 12.0 |
| Points allowed per game | 26.0 | 17.0 |
| Points difference | +23 | -15 |
| Against the spread (W-L-P) | 3-0 | 1-1-1 |
Head-to-head record
New England Patriots lead 36–13 in 49 meetings since 2002.
| P | Bills | T | Patriots | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All meetings | 49 | 13 | 0 | 36 |
| At Buffalo Bills | 25 | 7 | 0 | 18 |
- Biggest Buffalo Bills win
- New England Patriots 0–31 Buffalo Bills (2003 Week 1)
- Biggest New England Patriots win
- New England Patriots 56–10 Buffalo Bills (2007 Week 11)
- Average points per meeting
- 45.0
- Buffalo Bills against the spread (W-L-P)
- 18-29-2
Head-to-head (last 10)
- Buffalo Bills 35–31 New England Patriots2025 Week 15 · line BUF −2.5 (Bills covered)
- New England Patriots 23–20 Buffalo Bills2025 Week 5 · line BUF −7.5 (Bills did not cover)
- Buffalo Bills 16–23 New England Patriots2024 Week 18 · line BUF −3 (Bills did not cover)
- New England Patriots 21–24 Buffalo Bills2024 Week 16 · line BUF −14 (Bills did not cover)
- New England Patriots 21–27 Buffalo Bills2023 Week 17 · line BUF −15 (Bills did not cover)
- Buffalo Bills 25–29 New England Patriots2023 Week 7 · line BUF −7.5 (Bills did not cover)
- New England Patriots 23–35 Buffalo Bills2022 Week 18 · line BUF −8 (Bills covered)
- Buffalo Bills 24–10 New England Patriots2022 Week 13 · line BUF −3.5 (Bills covered)
- New England Patriots 17–47 Buffalo Bills2021 Wild card round · line BUF −4.5 (Bills covered)
- Buffalo Bills 33–21 New England Patriots2021 Week 16 · line NE −1 (Bills covered)
Recent games
Buffalo Bills
- Wv Los Angeles ChargersWeek 3 · covered BUF −724–16
- Wv Detroit LionsWeek 2 · covered BUF −5.541–31
- W@ Houston TexansWeek 1 · covered BUF −1.536–31
- L@ Denver Broncos2025 Divisional round · did not cover DEN −1.530–33 (OT)
- W@ Jacksonville Jaguars2025 Wild card round · covered JAX −1.527–24
- Wv New York Jets2025 Week 18 · covered BUF −12.535–8
- Lv Philadelphia Eagles2025 Week 17 · did not cover BUF −312–13
- W@ Cleveland Browns2025 Week 16 · did not cover BUF −10.523–20
- W@ New England Patriots2025 Week 15 · covered BUF −2.535–31
- Wv Cincinnati Bengals2025 Week 14 · did not cover BUF −639–34
Recent games
New England Patriots
- L@ Jacksonville JaguarsWeek 3 · did not cover JAX −36–35
- Wv Pittsburgh SteelersWeek 2 · covered NE −4.520–3
- L@ Seattle SeahawksWeek 1 · push SEA −310–13
- Lv Seattle Seahawks2025 Super Bowl · did not cover SEA −4.513–29
- W@ Denver Broncos2025 Conference championships · did not cover NE −3.510–7
- Wv Houston Texans2025 Divisional round · covered NE −328–16
- Wv Los Angeles Chargers2025 Wild card round · covered NE −3.516–3
- Wv Miami Dolphins2025 Week 18 · covered NE −1438–10
- W@ New York Jets2025 Week 17 · covered NE −12.542–10
- W@ Baltimore Ravens2025 Week 16 · covered BAL −3.528–24