Football · History

When does the table become real?

How far the table still moves

After 10 matches the average Premier League club finishes 2.9 places from where it stands; after 20, 2.0; after 30, 1.3.

024102030Matches playedPlaces from final positionAverage places from final position

31 complete 20-club, 38-match seasons. Position is ranked on each club’s record after the same number of matches; curtailed seasons are left out.

At a glance

AfterPlaces from final positionRank correlation with final tableAlready in final position
1 match5.20.348%
5 matches3.90.629%
10 matches2.90.7815%
15 matches2.40.8422%
20 matches2.00.8824%
25 matches1.60.9226%
30 matches1.30.9438%
35 matches0.80.9850%

What happened next?

Leaders after 10 matches won the Premier League: 14 of 31 (45%).

Historic pace

This season’s points against every champion and relegated side at the same stage.