Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
NFL 2026 · Week 17 · · Hard Rock Stadium · division game
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins, Week 17 of the 2026 season, Sun 3 Jan, 18:00 UK time.
Where to watch (UK)
Watch live
- DAZN NFL Game Pass · Requires DAZN subscription · also via DAZN app
Game Pass blacks out one 18:00 and one 21:25 Sunday game each week (on demand 24 hours after the game); DAZN names them by Wednesday.
Sky Sports and 5 pick their Sunday games each week: Sky shows several of the 18:00 and 21:25 games (some on Sky Sports+), and 5 shows one early-evening game on 5ACTION and one late game on 5, free. NFL TV Guide
Prediction
The model’s prediction appears here about a week before kick-off.
Miami Dolphins
LLLWL
Buffalo Bills
WWWLW
Form is each team’s last 5 games before this one, home and away (the season is only 17 games), oldest to newest; play-offs included.
2026 season so far
| Dolphins | Bills | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-6 | 6-1 |
| Points per game | 16.7 | 33.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 25.9 | 25.9 |
| Points difference | -64 | +52 |
| Against the spread (W-L-P) | 3-3-1 | 5-2 |
Head-to-head record
Buffalo Bills lead 33–16 in 49 meetings since 2002.
| P | Dolphins | T | Bills | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All meetings | 49 | 16 | 0 | 33 |
| At Miami Dolphins | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 |
- Biggest Miami Dolphins win
- Buffalo Bills 10–38 Miami Dolphins (2009 Week 4)
- Biggest Buffalo Bills win
- Buffalo Bills 35–0 Miami Dolphins (2021 Week 2)
- Average points per meeting
- 43.6
- Miami Dolphins against the spread (W-L-P)
- 21-27-1
Head-to-head (last 10)
- Buffalo Bills 13–30 Miami Dolphins2025 Week 10 · line BUF −8.5 (Dolphins covered)
- Miami Dolphins 21–31 Buffalo Bills2025 Week 3 · line BUF −12.5 (Dolphins covered)
- Miami Dolphins 27–30 Buffalo Bills2024 Week 9 · line BUF −6.5 (Dolphins covered)
- Buffalo Bills 31–10 Miami Dolphins2024 Week 2 · line MIA −2.5 (Dolphins did not cover)
- Buffalo Bills 21–14 Miami Dolphins2023 Week 18 · line BUF −2.5 (Dolphins did not cover)
- Miami Dolphins 20–48 Buffalo Bills2023 Week 4 · line BUF −2.5 (Dolphins did not cover)
- Miami Dolphins 31–34 Buffalo Bills2022 Wild card round · line BUF −14 (Dolphins covered)
- Miami Dolphins 29–32 Buffalo Bills2022 Week 15 · line BUF −7 (Dolphins covered)
- Buffalo Bills 19–21 Miami Dolphins2022 Week 3 · line BUF −4 (Dolphins covered)
- Miami Dolphins 11–26 Buffalo Bills2021 Week 8 · line BUF −15 (Dolphins push)
Recent games
Miami Dolphins
- Lv New England PatriotsWeek 8 · covered NE −719–24
- W@ New York JetsWeek 7 · covered NYJ −3.528–25
- Lv Cincinnati BengalsWeek 5 · push CIN −724–31
- L@ Minnesota VikingsWeek 4 · covered MIN −1010–15
- Lv Kansas City ChiefsWeek 3 · did not cover KC −1010–24
- L@ San Francisco 49ersWeek 2 · did not cover SF −12.513–35
- L@ Las Vegas RaidersWeek 1 · did not cover LV −313–27
- L@ New England Patriots2025 Week 18 · did not cover NE −1410–38
- Wv Tampa Bay Buccaneers2025 Week 17 · covered TB −5.520–17
- Lv Cincinnati Bengals2025 Week 16 · did not cover CIN −3.521–45
Recent games
Buffalo Bills
- Wv Baltimore RavensWeek 8 · covered BUF −336–10
- W@ Las Vegas RaidersWeek 6 · did not cover BUF −5.533–30
- W@ Los Angeles RamsWeek 5 · covered LA −3.537–34 (OT)
- Lv New England PatriotsWeek 4 · did not cover BUF −726–29
- Wv Los Angeles ChargersWeek 3 · covered BUF −724–16
- Wv Detroit LionsWeek 2 · covered BUF −5.541–31
- W@ Houston TexansWeek 1 · covered BUF −1.536–31
- L@ Denver Broncos2025 Divisional round · did not cover DEN −1.530–33 (OT)
- W@ Jacksonville Jaguars2025 Wild card round · covered JAX −1.527–24
- Wv New York Jets2025 Week 18 · covered BUF −12.535–8