Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
NFL 2026 · Week 16 · · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · division game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons, Week 16 of the 2026 season, Sun 27 Dec, 18:00 UK time.
Where to watch (UK)
Watch live
- DAZN NFL Game Pass · Requires DAZN subscription · also via DAZN app
Game Pass blacks out one 18:00 and one 21:25 Sunday game each week (on demand 24 hours after the game); DAZN names them by Wednesday.
Sky Sports and 5 pick their Sunday games each week: Sky shows several of the 18:00 and 21:25 games (some on Sky Sports+), and 5 shows one early-evening game on 5ACTION and one late game on 5, free. NFL TV Guide
Prediction
The model’s prediction appears here about a week before kick-off.
Form is each team’s last 5 games before this one, home and away (the season is only 17 games), oldest to newest; play-offs included.
2026 season so far
| Falcons | Buccaneers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Points per game | 21.4 | 22.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 23.6 | 18.9 |
| Points difference | -18 | +27 |
| Against the spread (W-L-P) | 3-5 | 3-4-1 |
Head-to-head record
Atlanta Falcons lead 25–24 in 49 meetings since 2002.
| P | Falcons | T | Buccaneers | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All meetings | 49 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
| At Atlanta Falcons | 24 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
- Biggest Atlanta Falcons win
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14–56 Atlanta Falcons (2014 Week 3)
- Biggest Tampa Bay Buccaneers win
- Atlanta Falcons 3–37 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2007 Week 15)
- Average points per meeting
- 47.0
- Atlanta Falcons against the spread (W-L-P)
- 21-26-2
Head-to-head (last 10)
- Atlanta Falcons 0–16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers2026 Week 8 · line TB −2.5 (Falcons did not cover)
- Atlanta Falcons 29–28 Tampa Bay Buccaneers2025 Week 15 · line TB −6 (Falcons covered)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23–20 Atlanta Falcons2025 Week 1 · line TB −1.5 (Falcons did not cover)
- Atlanta Falcons 31–26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers2024 Week 8 · line ATL −1.5 (Falcons covered)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30–36 Atlanta Falcons (OT)2024 Week 5 · line ATL −2.5 (Falcons covered)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29–25 Atlanta Falcons2023 Week 14 · line ATL −1.5 (Falcons did not cover)
- Atlanta Falcons 16–13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers2023 Week 7 · line TB −3 (Falcons covered)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17–30 Atlanta Falcons2022 Week 18 · line ATL −6 (Falcons covered)
- Atlanta Falcons 15–21 Tampa Bay Buccaneers2022 Week 5 · line TB −10.5 (Falcons covered)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30–17 Atlanta Falcons2021 Week 13 · line TB −11 (Falcons did not cover)
Recent games
Atlanta Falcons
- L@ Tampa Bay BuccaneersWeek 8 · did not cover TB −2.50–16
- Wv San Francisco 49ersWeek 7 · covered SF −2.529–20
- Lv Chicago BearsWeek 6 · did not cover CHI −1.523–31
- Lv Baltimore RavensWeek 5 · did not cover ATL −3.523–30 (OT)
- W@ New Orleans SaintsWeek 4 · covered NO −1.545–24
- W@ Green Bay PackersWeek 3 · covered GB −4.535–14
- Lv Carolina PanthersWeek 2 · did not cover CAR −2.53–34
- L@ Pittsburgh SteelersWeek 1 · did not cover PIT −6.513–20
- Wv New Orleans Saints2025 Week 18 · did not cover ATL −4.519–17
- Wv Los Angeles Rams2025 Week 17 · covered LA −7.527–24
Recent games
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Wv Atlanta FalconsWeek 8 · covered TB −2.516–0
- W@ Carolina PanthersWeek 7 · covered CAR −343–13
- Lv Pittsburgh SteelersWeek 6 · did not cover PIT −2.519–26 (OT)
- W@ Dallas CowboysWeek 5 · covered DAL −9.524–16
- Lv Green Bay PackersWeek 4 · push GB −314–17
- Lv Minnesota VikingsWeek 3 · did not cover MIN −1.516–23
- Lv Cleveland BrownsWeek 2 · did not cover TB −8.519–23
- L@ Cincinnati BengalsWeek 1 · did not cover CIN −3.527–33
- Wv Carolina Panthers2025 Week 18 · did not cover TB −316–14
- L@ Miami Dolphins2025 Week 17 · did not cover TB −5.517–20