Tennis · Predict

Bautista Agut R. v Khachanov K.

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Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.

PlayerOpponent

Bautista Agut R. and Khachanov K. are level at 6–6 in 12 tour-level meetings; Khachanov K. has won the last 4.

Who wins?

SurfaceMatch

Bautista Agut R. 34%66% Khachanov K.

fair odds 2.92fair odds 1.52

On hard, best of 3, if they met now.

What drives it

Overall rating
Rating on this surface
Ranking

Bars to the left favour Bautista Agut R. (green), to the right Khachanov K. (gold).

Bautista Agut R.'s chance on each surface
Bautista Agut R. wins	Hard	Clay	Grass
Best of 3	34%	34%	40%
Best of 5	31%	30%	40%

Their record

Head-to-head record
	Bautista Agut R.	Khachanov K.
All meetings	6	6
Hard	4	2
Clay	0	4
Grass	2	0
Grand Slam	2	0
1000	1	4
500	2	1
250	1	1

Ratings now

Elo ratings overall and by surface
	Bautista Agut R.	Khachanov K.
Overall	1676 (698)	1792 (550)
Hard	1640 (426)	1762 (353)
Clay	1635 (188)	1777 (143)
Grass	1737 (84)	1736 (54)
Ranking at last match	183	50

Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.

Every meeting (12)

					Score
20 Mar 2026	Miami Open 10002nd Round	2nd Round	Hard	Khachanov K. (15)	6-3 6-3	68%
27 Apr 2024	Mutua Madrid Open 10002nd Round	2nd Round	Clay	Khachanov K. (17)	3-6 6-3 7-5	68%
7 Feb 2024	Open 13 2502nd Round	2nd Round	Hard	Khachanov K. (18)	6-2 6-2	66%
30 Apr 2023	Mutua Madrid Open 10003rd Round	3rd Round	Clay	Khachanov K. (12)	7-5 4-6 6-3	58%
18 Feb 2022	Qatar Exxon Mobil Open 250Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Bautista Agut R. (16)	2-6 6-3 7-5	54%
25 Aug 2020	Western & Southern Financial Group Masters 10003rd Round	3rd Round	Hard	Bautista Agut R. (12)	4-6 6-3 6-2	57%
5 Jul 2019	Wimbledon Grand Slam3rd Round	3rd Round	Grass	Bautista Agut R. (22)	6-3 7-6 6-1	45%
14 May 2019	Internazionali BNL d'Italia 10002nd Round	2nd Round	Clay	Khachanov K. (13)	5-7 6-4 6-2	46%
18 Jan 2019	Australian Open Grand Slam3rd Round	3rd Round	Hard	Bautista Agut R. (24)	6-4 7-5 6-4	44%
22 Jun 2018	Gerry Weber Open 500Quarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Grass	Bautista Agut R. (16)	6-3 6-7 6-3	53%
27 Feb 2017	Dubai Tennis Championships 5001st Round	1st Round	Hard	Bautista Agut R. (16)	6-1 7-6	72%
19 Apr 2016	Open Banco Sabadell 5002nd Round	2nd Round	Clay	Khachanov K. (138)	6-2 6-7 6-3	22%

"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.

How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2000, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.