Auger-Aliassime F. v Tsitsipas S.
Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.
Tsitsipas S. leads Auger-Aliassime F. 7–4 in 11 tour-level meetings.
Who wins?
fair odds 1.41fair odds 3.46
On hard, best of 3, if they met now.
What drives it
- Overall rating
- Rating on this surface
- Ranking
- Previous meetings
Bars to the left favour Auger-Aliassime F. (green), to the right Tsitsipas S. (gold).
| Auger-Aliassime F. wins | Hard | Clay | Grass |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best of 3 | 71% | 60% | 70% |
| Best of 5 | 75% | 55% | 74% |
Their record
| Auger-Aliassime F. | Tsitsipas S. | |
|---|---|---|
| All meetings | 4 | 7 |
| Hard | 3 | 6 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
| 1000 | 2 | 3 |
| 500 | 2 | 3 |
| 250 | 0 | 1 |
| In finals | 1 | 2 |
Ratings now
| Auger-Aliassime F. | Tsitsipas S. | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1922 (449) | 1826 (550) |
| Hard | 1910 (293) | 1783 (331) |
| Clay | 1758 (101) | 1908 (174) |
| Grass | 1777 (55) | 1652 (45) |
| Ranking at last match | 4 | 53 |
Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.
Every meeting (11)
| 16 Aug 2026 | Western & Southern Financial Group Masters 10002nd Round | Auger-Aliassime F. (4) |
| 1 Mar 2025 | Dubai Tennis Championships 500Final | Tsitsipas S. (11) |
| 1 Nov 2023 | BNP Paribas Masters 10002nd Round | Tsitsipas S. (6) |
| 13 Feb 2022 | ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament 500Final | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) |
| 21 Aug 2021 | Western & Southern Financial Group Masters 1000Quarterfinals | Tsitsipas S. (3) |
| 23 Apr 2021 | Barcelona Open 500Quarterfinals | Tsitsipas S. (5) |
| 19 Mar 2021 | Abierto Mexicano 500Quarterfinals | Tsitsipas S. (5) |
| 23 Feb 2020 | Open 13 250Final | Tsitsipas S. (6) |
| 9 Oct 2019 | Shanghai Masters 10002nd Round | Tsitsipas S. (7) |
| 21 Jun 2019 | Queen's Club Championships 500Quarterfinals | Auger-Aliassime F. (21) |
| 9 Mar 2019 | BNP Paribas Open 10002nd Round | Auger-Aliassime F. (58) |
"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.
How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2000, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.