Tennis · Predict

Tsitsipas S. v Zverev A.

ATPWTA

Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.

PlayerOpponent

Tsitsipas S. leads Zverev A. 9–5 in 14 tour-level meetings.

Who wins?

SurfaceMatch

Tsitsipas S. 20%80% Zverev A.

fair odds 5.02fair odds 1.25

On hard, best of 3, if they met now.

What drives it

Overall rating
Rating on this surface
Ranking
Previous meetings

Bars to the left favour Tsitsipas S. (green), to the right Zverev A. (gold).

Tsitsipas S.'s chance on each surface
Tsitsipas S. wins	Hard	Clay	Grass
Best of 3	20%	24%	21%
Best of 5	15%	21%	16%

Their record

Head-to-head record
	Tsitsipas S.	Zverev A.
All meetings	9	5
Hard	4	4
Clay	5	1
Grand Slam	1	0
Tour Finals	1	0
1000	6	3
500	1	2
In finals	0	1

Ratings now

Elo ratings overall and by surface
	Tsitsipas S.	Zverev A.
Overall	1826 (550)	2066 (752)
Hard	1783 (331)	2008 (426)
Clay	1908 (174)	2028 (247)
Grass	1652 (45)	1878 (79)
Ranking at last match	53	2

Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.

Every meeting (14)

					Score
1 Nov 2024	BNP Paribas Masters 1000Quarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Hard	Zverev A. (3)	7-5 6-4	65%
11 Apr 2024	Monte Carlo Masters 10003rd Round	3rd Round	Clay	Tsitsipas S. (12)	7-5 7-6	45%
2 Nov 2023	BNP Paribas Masters 10003rd Round	3rd Round	Hard	Tsitsipas S. (6)	7-6 6-4	48%
14 May 2022	Internazionali BNL d'Italia 1000Semifinals	Semifinals	Clay	Tsitsipas S. (5)	4-6 6-3 6-3	50%
7 May 2022	Mutua Madrid Open 1000Semifinals	Semifinals	Clay	Zverev A. (3)	6-4 3-6 6-2	49%
16 Apr 2022	Monte Carlo Masters 1000Semifinals	Semifinals	Clay	Tsitsipas S. (5)	6-4 6-2	47%
21 Aug 2021	Western & Southern Financial Group Masters 1000Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Zverev A. (5)	6-4 3-6 7-6	46%
11 Jun 2021	French Open Grand SlamSemifinals	Semifinals	Clay	Tsitsipas S. (5)	6-3 6-3 4-6 4-6 6-3	56%
21 Mar 2021	Abierto Mexicano 500Final	Final	Hard	Zverev A. (7)	6-4 7-6	47%
13 Nov 2019	Masters Cup Tour FinalsRound Robin	Round Robin	Hard	Tsitsipas S. (6)	6-3 6-2	54%
5 Oct 2019	China Open 500Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Tsitsipas S. (7)	7-6 6-4	46%
10 May 2019	Mutua Madrid Open 1000Quarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Clay	Tsitsipas S. (9)	7-5 3-6 6-2	40%
10 Aug 2018	Rogers Masters 1000Quarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Hard	Tsitsipas S. (27)	3-6 7-6 6-4	26%
4 Aug 2018	Citi Open 500Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Zverev A. (3)	6-2 6-4	77%

"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.

How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2000, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.