Rublev A. v Tsitsipas S.
Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.
Rublev A. leads Tsitsipas S. 6–5 in 11 tour-level meetings; Rublev A. has won the last 2.
Who wins?
fair odds 1.83fair odds 2.21
On hard, best of 3, if they met now.
What drives it
- Overall rating
- Ranking
- Previous meetings
Bars to the left favour Rublev A. (green), to the right Tsitsipas S. (gold).
| Rublev A. wins | Hard | Clay | Grass |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best of 3 | 55% | 53% | 58% |
| Best of 5 | 55% | 52% | 60% |
Their record
| Rublev A. | Tsitsipas S. | |
|---|---|---|
| All meetings | 6 | 5 |
| Hard | 5 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| Tour Finals | 2 | 1 |
| 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| 500 | 3 | 1 |
| In finals | 1 | 1 |
Ratings now
| Rublev A. | Tsitsipas S. | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1835 (593) | 1826 (550) |
| Hard | 1782 (403) | 1783 (331) |
| Clay | 1873 (153) | 1908 (174) |
| Grass | 1724 (37) | 1652 (45) |
| Ranking at last match | 25 | 53 |
Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.
Every meeting (11)
| 19 Feb 2026 | Qatar Exxon Mobil Open 500Quarterfinals | Rublev A. (14) |
| 18 Nov 2022 | Masters Cup Tour FinalsRound Robin | Rublev A. (7) |
| 8 Oct 2022 | Astana Open 500Semifinals | Tsitsipas S. (6) |
| 6 May 2022 | Mutua Madrid Open 1000Quarterfinals | Tsitsipas S. (5) |
| 15 Nov 2021 | Masters Cup Tour FinalsRound Robin | Rublev A. (5) |
| 18 Apr 2021 | Monte Carlo Masters 1000Final | Tsitsipas S. (5) |
| 6 Mar 2021 | ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament 500Semifinals | Rublev A. (8) |
| 17 Nov 2020 | Masters Cup Tour FinalsRound Robin | Tsitsipas S. (6) |
| 7 Oct 2020 | French Open Grand SlamQuarterfinals | Tsitsipas S. (6) |
| 27 Sept 2020 | German Tennis Championships 500Final | Rublev A. (14) |
| 27 Aug 2019 | US Open Grand Slam1st Round | Rublev A. (43) |
"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.
How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2000, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.