Tennis · Predict

Medvedev D. v Zverev A.

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Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.

PlayerOpponent

Medvedev D. leads Zverev A. 13–8 in 21 tour-level meetings.

Who wins?

SurfaceMatch

Medvedev D. 38%62% Zverev A.

fair odds 2.66fair odds 1.60

On hard, best of 3, if they met now.

What drives it

Overall rating
Rating on this surface
Ranking
Previous meetings

Bars to the left favour Medvedev D. (green), to the right Zverev A. (gold).

Medvedev D.'s chance on each surface
Medvedev D. wins	Hard	Clay	Grass
Best of 3	38%	33%	39%
Best of 5	35%	27%	38%

Their record

Head-to-head record
	Medvedev D.	Zverev A.
All meetings	13	8
Hard	10	8
Clay	2	0
Grass	1	0
Grand Slam	1	0
Tour Finals	3	2
1000	6	4
500	3	1
250	0	1
In finals	2	1

Ratings now

Elo ratings overall and by surface
	Medvedev D.	Zverev A.
Overall	1922 (617)	2066 (752)
Hard	1937 (446)	2008 (426)
Clay	1833 (86)	2028 (247)
Grass	1831 (85)	1878 (79)
Ranking at last match	6	2

Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.

Every meeting (21)

					Score
31 Oct 2025	BNP Paribas Masters 1000Quarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Hard	Zverev A. (3)	2-6 6-3 7-6	60%
29 Sept 2025	China Open 500Quarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Hard	Medvedev D. (18)	6-3 6-3	35%
21 Jun 2025	Halle Open 500Semifinals	Semifinals	Grass	Medvedev D. (11)	7-6 6-7 6-4	43%
26 Jan 2024	Australian Open Grand SlamSemifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Medvedev D. (3)	5-7 3-6 7-6 7-6 6-3	63%
15 Nov 2023	Masters Cup Tour FinalsRound Robin	Round Robin	Hard	Medvedev D. (3)	7-6 6-4	63%
3 Oct 2023	China Open 500Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Medvedev D. (3)	6-4 6-3	63%
17 Aug 2023	Western & Southern Financial Group Masters 10003rd Round	3rd Round	Hard	Zverev A. (17)	6-4 5-7 6-4	32%
16 May 2023	Internazionali BNL d'Italia 10004th Round	4th Round	Clay	Medvedev D. (3)	6-2 7-6	56%
13 Apr 2023	Monte Carlo Masters 10003rd Round	3rd Round	Clay	Medvedev D. (5)	3-6 7-5 7-6	48%
14 Mar 2023	BNP Paribas Open 10004th Round	4th Round	Hard	Medvedev D. (6)	6-7 7-6 7-5	62%
21 Nov 2021	Masters Cup Tour FinalsFinal	Final	Hard	Zverev A. (3)	6-4 6-4	43%
16 Nov 2021	Masters Cup Tour FinalsRound Robin	Round Robin	Hard	Medvedev D. (2)	6-3 6-7 7-6	56%
6 Nov 2021	BNP Paribas Masters 1000Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Medvedev D. (2)	6-2 6-2	55%
16 Nov 2020	Masters Cup Tour FinalsRound Robin	Round Robin	Hard	Medvedev D. (4)	6-3 6-4	50%
8 Nov 2020	BNP Paribas Masters 1000Final	Final	Hard	Medvedev D. (5)	5-7 6-4 6-1	46%
15 Nov 2019	Masters Cup Tour FinalsRound Robin	Round Robin	Hard	Zverev A. (7)	6-4 7-6	40%
13 Oct 2019	Shanghai Masters 1000Final	Final	Hard	Medvedev D. (4)	6-4 6-1	59%
9 Aug 2018	Rogers Masters 10003rd Round	3rd Round	Hard	Zverev A. (3)	6-3 6-2	81%
24 Mar 2018	Sony Ericsson Open 10002nd Round	2nd Round	Hard	Zverev A. (5)	6-4 1-6 7-6	73%
5 Aug 2017	Citi Open 500Quarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Hard	Zverev A. (8)	6-2 6-4	71%
22 Sept 2016	St. Petersburg Open 2502nd Round	2nd Round	Hard	Zverev A. (27)	6-3 7-5	72%

"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.

How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2000, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.