Tennis · Predict

Medvedev D. v Tsitsipas S.

ATPWTA

Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.

PlayerOpponent

Medvedev D. leads Tsitsipas S. 10–5 in 15 tour-level meetings.

Who wins?

SurfaceMatch

Medvedev D. 72%28% Tsitsipas S.

fair odds 1.39fair odds 3.55

On hard, best of 3, if they met now.

What drives it

Overall rating
Rating on this surface
Ranking
Previous meetings

Bars to the left favour Medvedev D. (green), to the right Tsitsipas S. (gold).

Medvedev D.'s chance on each surface
Medvedev D. wins	Hard	Clay	Grass
Best of 3	72%	63%	72%
Best of 5	76%	60%	76%

Their record

Head-to-head record
	Medvedev D.	Tsitsipas S.
All meetings	10	5
Hard	8	4
Clay	2	1
Grand Slam	3	1
Tour Finals	0	2
1000	5	1
500	2	1

Ratings now

Elo ratings overall and by surface
	Medvedev D.	Tsitsipas S.
Overall	1922 (617)	1826 (550)
Hard	1937 (446)	1783 (331)
Clay	1833 (86)	1908 (174)
Grass	1831 (85)	1652 (45)
Ranking at last match	6	53

Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.

Every meeting (15)

					Score
18 Feb 2026	Qatar Exxon Mobil Open 5002nd Round	2nd Round	Hard	Tsitsipas S. (33)	6-3 6-4	32%
9 Oct 2024	Shanghai Masters 10004th Round	4th Round	Hard	Medvedev D. (5)	7-6 6-3	70%
28 Oct 2023	Vienna Open 500Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Medvedev D. (3)	6-4 7-6	69%
20 May 2023	Internazionali BNL d'Italia 1000Semifinals	Semifinals	Clay	Medvedev D. (3)	7-5 7-5	48%
16 Nov 2022	Masters Cup Tour FinalsRound Robin	Round Robin	Hard	Tsitsipas S. (3)	6-3 6-7 7-6	45%
21 Aug 2022	Western & Southern Financial Group Masters 1000Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Tsitsipas S. (7)	7-6 3-6 6-3	29%
28 Jan 2022	Australian Open Grand SlamSemifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Medvedev D. (2)	7-6 4-6 6-4 6-1	71%
8 Jun 2021	French Open Grand SlamQuarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Clay	Tsitsipas S. (5)	6-3 7-6 7-5	68%
19 Feb 2021	Australian Open Grand SlamSemifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Medvedev D. (4)	6-4 6-2 7-5	64%
11 Nov 2019	Masters Cup Tour FinalsRound Robin	Round Robin	Hard	Tsitsipas S. (6)	7-6 6-4	36%
12 Oct 2019	Shanghai Masters 1000Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Medvedev D. (4)	7-6 7-5	66%
18 Apr 2019	Monte Carlo Masters 10003rd Round	3rd Round	Clay	Medvedev D. (14)	6-2 1-6 6-4	40%
26 Oct 2018	Swiss Indoors 500Quarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Hard	Medvedev D. (20)	6-4 3-6 6-3	51%
29 Aug 2018	US Open Grand Slam2nd Round	2nd Round	Hard	Medvedev D. (36)	6-4 6-3 4-6 6-3	44%
22 Mar 2018	Sony Ericsson Open 10001st Round	1st Round	Hard	Medvedev D. (52)	2-6 6-4 6-2	63%

"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.

How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2000, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.