Tennis · Predict

Fritz T. v Zverev A.

ATPWTA

Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.

PlayerOpponent

Fritz T. leads Zverev A. 7–5 in 12 tour-level meetings.

Who wins?

SurfaceMatch

Fritz T. 34%66% Zverev A.

fair odds 2.98fair odds 1.50

On hard, best of 3, if they met now.

What drives it

Overall rating
Rating on this surface
Ranking
Previous meetings

Bars to the left favour Fritz T. (green), to the right Zverev A. (gold).

Fritz T.'s chance on each surface
Fritz T. wins	Hard	Clay	Grass
Best of 3	34%	28%	40%
Best of 5	30%	21%	42%

Their record

Head-to-head record
	Fritz T.	Zverev A.
All meetings	7	5
Hard	4	1
Clay	0	1
Grass	3	3
Grand Slam	2	3
Tour Finals	1	0
1000	1	1
500	2	1
250	1	0
In finals	1	0

Ratings now

Elo ratings overall and by surface
	Fritz T.	Zverev A.
Overall	1952 (552)	2066 (752)
Hard	1895 (376)	2008 (426)
Clay	1743 (91)	2028 (247)
Grass	1921 (85)	1878 (79)
Ranking at last match	10	2

Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.

Every meeting (12)

					Score
8 Jul 2026	Wimbledon Grand SlamQuarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Grass	Zverev A. (3)	6-4 6-4 6-2	50%
20 Jun 2026	Halle Open 500Semifinals	Semifinals	Grass	Fritz T. (9)	6-7 6-4 7-5	45%
15 Jun 2025	Stuttgart Open 250Final	Final	Grass	Fritz T. (7)	6-3 7-6	43%
16 Nov 2024	Masters Cup Tour FinalsSemifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Fritz T. (5)	6-3 3-6 7-6	37%
3 Sept 2024	US Open Grand SlamQuarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Hard	Fritz T. (12)	7-6 3-6 6-4 7-6	34%
8 Jul 2024	Wimbledon Grand Slam4th Round	4th Round	Grass	Fritz T. (12)	4-6 6-7 6-4 7-6 6-3	39%
15 May 2024	Internazionali BNL d'Italia 1000Quarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Clay	Zverev A. (5)	6-4 6-3	61%
15 Oct 2021	BNP Paribas Open 1000Quarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Hard	Fritz T. (39)	4-6 6-3 7-6	20%
3 Jul 2021	Wimbledon Grand Slam3rd Round	3rd Round	Grass	Zverev A. (6)	6-7 6-4 6-3 7-6	71%
22 Oct 2019	Swiss Indoors 5001st Round	1st Round	Hard	Fritz T. (31)	7-6 6-4	23%
6 Jul 2018	Wimbledon Grand Slam2nd Round	2nd Round	Grass	Zverev A. (3)	6-4 5-7 6-7 6-1 6-2	90%
20 Jul 2016	Citi Open 5002nd Round	2nd Round	Hard	Zverev A. (27)	6-4 6-2	65%

"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.

How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2000, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.