Tennis · Predict

Djokovic N. v Zverev A.

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Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.

PlayerOpponent

Djokovic N. leads Zverev A. 8–4 in 12 tour-level meetings.

Who wins?

SurfaceMatch

Djokovic N. 53%47% Zverev A.

fair odds 1.88fair odds 2.13

On hard, best of 3, if they met now.

What drives it

Overall rating
Rating on this surface
Ranking
Previous meetings

Bars to the left favour Djokovic N. (green), to the right Zverev A. (gold).

Djokovic N.'s chance on each surface
Djokovic N. wins	Hard	Clay	Grass
Best of 3	53%	48%	59%
Best of 5	57%	49%	67%

Their record

Head-to-head record
	Djokovic N.	Zverev A.
All meetings	8	4
Hard	6	3
Clay	2	1
Grand Slam	4	1
Tour Finals	2	2
1000	2	1
In finals	0	2

Ratings now

Elo ratings overall and by surface
	Djokovic N.	Zverev A.
Overall	2127 (1329)	2066 (752)
Hard	2127 (819)	2008 (426)
Clay	2049 (351)	2028 (247)
Grass	2145 (146)	1878 (79)
Ranking at last match	5	2

Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.

Every meeting (12)

					Score
4 Jun 2025	French Open Grand SlamQuarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Clay	Djokovic N. (6)	4-6 6-3 6-2 6-4	58%
24 Jan 2025	Australian Open Grand SlamSemifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Zverev A. (2)	7-6 ret.	38%
20 Aug 2023	Western & Southern Financial Group Masters 1000Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Djokovic N. (2)	7-6 7-5	77%
20 Nov 2021	Masters Cup Tour FinalsSemifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Zverev A. (3)	7-6 4-6 6-3	31%
11 Sept 2021	US Open Grand SlamSemifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	4-6 6-2 6-4 4-6 6-2	74%
16 Feb 2021	Australian Open Grand SlamQuarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	6-7 6-2 6-4 7-6	77%
20 Nov 2020	Masters Cup Tour FinalsRound Robin	Round Robin	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	6-3 7-6	73%
6 Jun 2019	French Open Grand SlamQuarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Clay	Djokovic N. (1)	7-5 6-2 6-2	77%
18 Nov 2018	Masters Cup Tour FinalsFinal	Final	Hard	Zverev A. (5)	6-4 6-3	24%
14 Nov 2018	Masters Cup Tour FinalsRound Robin	Round Robin	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	6-4 6-1	77%
13 Oct 2018	Shanghai Masters 1000Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Djokovic N. (3)	6-2 6-1	71%
21 May 2017	Internazionali BNL d'Italia 1000Final	Final	Clay	Zverev A. (17)	6-4 6-3	21%

"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.

How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2000, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.