Tennis · Predict

Djokovic N. v Tsitsipas S.

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Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.

PlayerOpponent

Djokovic N. leads Tsitsipas S. 12–2 in 14 tour-level meetings; Djokovic N. has won the last 11.

Who wins?

SurfaceMatch

Djokovic N. 83%17% Tsitsipas S.

fair odds 1.20fair odds 5.95

On hard, best of 3, if they met now.

What drives it

Overall rating
Rating on this surface
Ranking
Previous meetings

Bars to the left favour Djokovic N. (green), to the right Tsitsipas S. (gold).

Djokovic N.'s chance on each surface
Djokovic N. wins	Hard	Clay	Grass
Best of 3	83%	77%	85%
Best of 5	89%	80%	92%

Their record

Head-to-head record
	Djokovic N.	Tsitsipas S.
All meetings	12	2
Hard	6	2
Clay	5	0
Grass	1	0
Grand Slam	4	0
Tour Finals	1	0
1000	5	2
500	2	0
In finals	6	0

Ratings now

Elo ratings overall and by surface
	Djokovic N.	Tsitsipas S.
Overall	2127 (1329)	1826 (550)
Hard	2127 (819)	1783 (331)
Clay	2049 (351)	1908 (174)
Grass	2145 (146)	1652 (45)
Ranking at last match	5	53

Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.

Every meeting (14)

					Score
1 Jul 2026	Wimbledon Grand Slam2nd Round	2nd Round	Grass	Djokovic N. (8)	6-3 6-4 6-2	92%
29 Jan 2023	Australian Open Grand SlamFinal	Final	Hard	Djokovic N. (5)	6-3 7-6 7-6	75%
14 Nov 2022	Masters Cup Tour FinalsRound Robin	Round Robin	Hard	Djokovic N. (8)	6-4 7-6	63%
5 Nov 2022	BNP Paribas Masters 1000Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Djokovic N. (7)	6-2 3-6 7-6	67%
9 Oct 2022	Astana Open 500Final	Final	Hard	Djokovic N. (7)	6-3 6-4	67%
15 May 2022	Internazionali BNL d'Italia 1000Final	Final	Clay	Djokovic N. (1)	6-0 7-6	66%
13 Jun 2021	French Open Grand SlamFinal	Final	Clay	Djokovic N. (1)	6-7 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-4	70%
15 May 2021	Internazionali BNL d'Italia 1000Quarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Clay	Djokovic N. (1)	4-6 7-5 7-5	68%
9 Oct 2020	French Open Grand SlamSemifinals	Semifinals	Clay	Djokovic N. (1)	6-3 6-2 5-7 4-6 6-1	79%
29 Feb 2020	Dubai Tennis Championships 500Final	Final	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	6-3 6-4	73%
1 Nov 2019	BNP Paribas Masters 1000Quarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	6-1 6-2	76%
11 Oct 2019	Shanghai Masters 1000Quarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Hard	Tsitsipas S. (7)	3-6 7-5 6-3	21%
12 May 2019	Mutua Madrid Open 1000Final	Final	Clay	Djokovic N. (1)	6-3 6-4	75%
9 Aug 2018	Rogers Masters 10003rd Round	3rd Round	Hard	Tsitsipas S. (27)	6-3 6-7 6-3	19%

"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.

How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2000, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.