Tennis · Predict

Djokovic N. v Monfils G.

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Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.

PlayerOpponent

Djokovic N. leads Monfils G. 17–0 in 17 tour-level meetings; Djokovic N. has won the last 17.

Who wins?

SurfaceMatch

Djokovic N. 89%11% Monfils G.

fair odds 1.12fair odds 9.12

On hard, best of 3, if they met now.

What drives it

Overall rating
Rating on this surface
Ranking
Previous meetings

Bars to the left favour Djokovic N. (green), to the right Monfils G. (gold).

Djokovic N.'s chance on each surface
Djokovic N. wins	Hard	Clay	Grass
Best of 3	89%	90%	90%
Best of 5	93%	94%	95%

Their record

Head-to-head record
	Djokovic N.	Monfils G.
All meetings	17	0
Hard	14	0
Clay	2	0
Grass	1	0
Grand Slam	5	0
1000	9	0
500	1	0
250	2	0
In finals	2	0

Plus 1 walkover, not counted.

Ratings now

Elo ratings overall and by surface
	Djokovic N.	Monfils G.
Overall	2127 (1329)	1772 (919)
Hard	2127 (819)	1790 (588)
Clay	2049 (351)	1636 (236)
Grass	2145 (146)	1660 (83)
Ranking at last match	5	311

Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.

Every meeting (18)

					Score
2 Jan 2025	Brisbane International 2502nd Round	2nd Round	Hard	Djokovic N. (7)	6-3 6-3	83%
18 Aug 2023	Western & Southern Financial Group Masters 10003rd Round	3rd Round	Hard	Djokovic N. (2)	6-3 6-2	90%
3 May 2022	Mutua Madrid Open 10002nd Round	2nd Round	Clay	Djokovic N. (1)	6-3 6-2	88%
4 Nov 2021	BNP Paribas Masters 10003rd Round	3rd Round	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	Walkover	–
28 Feb 2020	Dubai Tennis Championships 500Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	2-6 7-6 6-1	81%
18 Jan 2018	Australian Open Grand Slam2nd Round	2nd Round	Hard	Djokovic N. (14)	4-6 6-3 6-1 6-3	87%
1 Jul 2017	AEGON International 250Final	Final	Grass	Djokovic N. (4)	6-3 6-4	80%
9 Sept 2016	US Open Grand SlamSemifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	6-3 6-2 3-6 6-2	92%
31 Jul 2016	Rogers Masters 1000Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	6-3 6-2	87%
30 Oct 2014	BNP Paribas Masters 10003rd Round	3rd Round	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	6-3 7-6	86%
6 Aug 2014	Rogers Masters 10002nd Round	2nd Round	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	6-2 6-7 7-6	88%
11 Oct 2013	Shanghai Masters 1000Quarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Hard	Djokovic N. (2)	6-7 6-2 6-4	87%
20 Aug 2011	Western & Southern Financial Group Masters 1000Quarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	3-6 6-4 6-3	79%
13 Aug 2011	Rogers Masters 1000Quarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	6-2 6-1	79%
8 Sept 2010	US Open Grand SlamQuarterfinals	Quarterfinals	Hard	Djokovic N. (3)	7-6 6-1 6-2	82%
15 Nov 2009	BNP Paribas Masters 1000Final	Final	Hard	Djokovic N. (3)	6-2 5-7 7-6	77%
5 Jun 2006	French Open Grand Slam4th Round	4th Round	Clay	Djokovic N. (63)	7-6 7-6 6-3	41%
30 Aug 2005	US Open Grand Slam1st Round	1st Round	Hard	Djokovic N. (97)	7-5 4-6 7-5 0-6 7-5	29%

"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.

How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2000, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.