Dimitrov G. v Wawrinka S.
Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.
Wawrinka S. leads Dimitrov G. 7–6 in 13 tour-level meetings; Dimitrov G. has won the last 2.
Who wins?
fair odds 1.64fair odds 2.55
On hard, best of 3, if they met now.
What drives it
- Overall rating
- Rating on this surface
- Ranking
- Previous meetings
Bars to the left favour Dimitrov G. (green), to the right Wawrinka S. (gold).
| Dimitrov G. wins | Hard | Clay | Grass |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best of 3 | 61% | 60% | 61% |
| Best of 5 | 65% | 64% | 66% |
Their record
| Dimitrov G. | Wawrinka S. | |
|---|---|---|
| All meetings | 6 | 7 |
| Hard | 2 | 4 |
| Clay | 3 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 4 |
| 1000 | 4 | 3 |
| 500 | 1 | 0 |
| 250 | 1 | 0 |
Ratings now
| Dimitrov G. | Wawrinka S. | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1848 (782) | 1653 (930) |
| Hard | 1843 (513) | 1705 (529) |
| Clay | 1765 (181) | 1639 (313) |
| Grass | 1787 (88) | 1631 (68) |
| Ranking at last match | 137 | 127 |
Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.
Every meeting (13)
| 12 May 2023 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia 10002nd Round | Dimitrov G. (33) |
| 28 Feb 2020 | Abierto Mexicano 500Quarterfinals | Dimitrov G. (22) |
| 13 Aug 2019 | Western & Southern Financial Group Masters 10001st Round | Wawrinka S. (23) |
| 5 Aug 2019 | Rogers Masters 10001st Round | Wawrinka S. (22) |
| 1 Jun 2019 | French Open Grand Slam3rd Round | Wawrinka S. (28) |
| 27 Aug 2018 | US Open Grand Slam1st Round | Wawrinka S. (101) |
| 2 Jul 2018 | Wimbledon Grand Slam1st Round | Wawrinka S. (224) |
| 18 Aug 2016 | Western & Southern Financial Group Masters 10003rd Round | Dimitrov G. (34) |
| 7 May 2015 | Mutua Madrid Open 10003rd Round | Dimitrov G. (11) |
| 16 Apr 2015 | Monte Carlo Masters 10003rd Round | Dimitrov G. (11) |
| 14 Jun 2014 | AEGON Championships 250Semifinals | Dimitrov G. (13) |
| 9 May 2013 | Mutua Madrid Open 10003rd Round | Wawrinka S. (15) |
| 19 Jan 2011 | Australian Open Grand Slam2nd Round | Wawrinka S. (19) |
"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.
How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2000, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.