Tennis · Predict

Bautista Agut R. v Djokovic N.

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Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.

PlayerOpponent

Djokovic N. leads Bautista Agut R. 9–3 in 12 tour-level meetings; Djokovic N. has won the last 2.

Who wins?

SurfaceMatch

Bautista Agut R. 9%91% Djokovic N.

fair odds 10.87fair odds 1.10

On hard, best of 3, if they met now.

What drives it

Overall rating
Rating on this surface
Ranking
Previous meetings

Bars to the left favour Bautista Agut R. (green), to the right Djokovic N. (gold).

Bautista Agut R.'s chance on each surface
Bautista Agut R. wins	Hard	Clay	Grass
Best of 3	9%	11%	12%
Best of 5	5%	6%	7%

Their record

Head-to-head record
	Bautista Agut R.	Djokovic N.
All meetings	3	9
Hard	3	4
Clay	0	4
Grass	0	1
Grand Slam	0	4
1000	2	3
500	0	2
250	1	0

Ratings now

Elo ratings overall and by surface
	Bautista Agut R.	Djokovic N.
Overall	1676 (698)	2127 (1329)
Hard	1640 (426)	2127 (819)
Clay	1635 (188)	2049 (351)
Grass	1737 (84)	2145 (146)
Ranking at last match	183	5

Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.

Every meeting (12)

					Score
28 Aug 2020	Western & Southern Financial Group Masters 1000Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	4-6 6-4 7-6	83%
12 Jul 2019	Wimbledon Grand SlamSemifinals	Semifinals	Grass	Djokovic N. (1)	6-2 4-6 6-3 6-2	86%
26 Mar 2019	Sony Ericsson Open 10004th Round	4th Round	Hard	Bautista Agut R. (25)	1-6 7-5 6-3	15%
4 Jan 2019	Qatar Exxon Mobil Open 250Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Bautista Agut R. (24)	3-6 7-6 6-4	13%
1 Jun 2018	French Open Grand Slam3rd Round	3rd Round	Clay	Djokovic N. (22)	6-4 6-7 7-6 6-2	81%
18 May 2017	Internazionali BNL d'Italia 10003rd Round	3rd Round	Clay	Djokovic N. (2)	6-4 6-4	86%
15 Oct 2016	Shanghai Masters 1000Semifinals	Semifinals	Hard	Bautista Agut R. (19)	6-4 6-4	11%
1 Jun 2016	French Open Grand Slam4th Round	4th Round	Clay	Djokovic N. (1)	3-6 6-4 6-1 7-5	93%
5 May 2016	Mutua Madrid Open 10003rd Round	3rd Round	Clay	Djokovic N. (1)	6-2 6-1	87%
7 Sept 2015	US Open Grand Slam4th Round	4th Round	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	6-3 4-6 6-4 6-3	94%
26 Feb 2014	Dubai Tennis Championships 5002nd Round	2nd Round	Hard	Djokovic N. (2)	6-1 6-3	91%
27 Feb 2013	Dubai Tennis Championships 5002nd Round	2nd Round	Hard	Djokovic N. (1)	6-1 7-6	94%

"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.

How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2000, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.