Sakkari M. v Swiatek I.
Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.
Swiatek I. leads Sakkari M. 6–4 in 10 tour-level meetings; Swiatek I. has won the last 2.
Who wins?
fair odds 4.37fair odds 1.30
On hard, best of 3, if they met now.
What drives it
- Overall rating
- Rating on this surface
- Ranking
- Previous meetings
Bars to the left favour Sakkari M. (green), to the right Swiatek I. (gold).
| Sakkari M. wins | Hard | Clay | Grass |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best of 3 | 23% | 22% | 25% |
| Best of 5 | 17% | 15% | 19% |
Their record
| Sakkari M. | Swiatek I. | |
|---|---|---|
| All meetings | 4 | 6 |
| Hard | 2 | 6 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| Tour Finals | 1 | 0 |
| 1000 | 1 | 6 |
| 250 | 1 | 0 |
| In finals | 0 | 2 |
Ratings now
| Sakkari M. | Swiatek I. | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1738 (470) | 2046 (417) |
| Hard | 1732 (291) | 2019 (250) |
| Clay | 1714 (123) | 2051 (130) |
| Grass | 1618 (56) | 1876 (37) |
| Ranking at last match | 33 | 8 |
Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.
Every meeting (10)
| 17 Aug 2026 | Western & Southern Financial Group Women's Open 10003rd Round | Swiatek I. (5) |
| 9 Mar 2026 | BNP Paribas Open 10003rd Round | Swiatek I. (2) |
| 12 Feb 2026 | Qatar Open 1000Quarterfinals | Sakkari M. (52) |
| 10 Feb 2025 | Qatar Open 10002nd Round | Swiatek I. (2) |
| 17 Mar 2024 | BNP Paribas Open 1000Final | Swiatek I. (1) |
| 20 Mar 2022 | BNP Paribas Open 1000Final | Swiatek I. (4) |
| 25 Feb 2022 | Qatar Open 1000Semifinals | Swiatek I. (8) |
| 11 Nov 2021 | WTA Finals Tour FinalsRound Robin | Sakkari M. (6) |
| 25 Sept 2021 | Ostrava Open 250Semifinals | Sakkari M. (12) |
| 9 Jun 2021 | French Open Grand SlamQuarterfinals | Sakkari M. (18) |
"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.
How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2007, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.