Pegula J. v Sakkari M.
Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.
Pegula J. leads Sakkari M. 7–5 in 12 tour-level meetings; Pegula J. has won the last 4.
Who wins?
fair odds 1.24fair odds 5.13
On hard, best of 3, if they met now.
What drives it
- Overall rating
- Rating on this surface
- Ranking
- Previous meetings
Bars to the left favour Pegula J. (green), to the right Sakkari M. (gold).
| Pegula J. wins | Hard | Clay | Grass |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best of 3 | 81% | 75% | 77% |
| Best of 5 | 86% | 78% | 81% |
Their record
| Pegula J. | Sakkari M. | |
|---|---|---|
| All meetings | 7 | 5 |
| Hard | 7 | 4 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| Tour Finals | 1 | 1 |
| 1000 | 2 | 2 |
| Premier | 0 | 1 |
| 500 | 3 | 1 |
| In finals | 1 | 0 |
Ratings now
| Pegula J. | Sakkari M. | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2038 (436) | 1738 (470) |
| Hard | 2013 (309) | 1732 (291) |
| Clay | 1837 (82) | 1714 (123) |
| Grass | 1806 (45) | 1618 (56) |
| Ranking at last match | 3 | 33 |
Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.
Every meeting (12)
| 30 Jul 2025 | Canadian Open 10002nd Round | Pegula J. (4) |
| 8 Jan 2025 | Adelaide International 5002nd Round | Pegula J. (7) |
| 2 Nov 2023 | WTA Finals Tour FinalsRound Robin | Pegula J. (5) |
| 30 Sept 2023 | Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis Tournament 500Semifinals | Pegula J. (4) |
| 5 Aug 2023 | Citi Open 500Semifinals | Sakkari M. (9) |
| 17 Feb 2023 | Qatar Open 500Semifinals | Pegula J. (4) |
| 31 Oct 2022 | WTA Finals Tour FinalsRound Robin | Sakkari M. (5) |
| 24 Oct 2022 | Guadalajara Open 1000Final | Pegula J. (5) |
| 23 Feb 2022 | Qatar Open 10003rd Round | Sakkari M. (6) |
| 23 Jan 2022 | Australian Open Grand Slam4th Round | Pegula J. (21) |
| 29 Mar 2021 | Miami Open 10004th Round | Sakkari M. (25) |
| 23 Jun 2019 | Eastbourne International Premier1st Round | Sakkari M. (32) |
"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.
How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2007, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.