Mertens E. v Svitolina E.
Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.
Svitolina E. leads Mertens E. 5–4 in 9 tour-level meetings.
Who wins?
fair odds 2.99fair odds 1.50
On hard, best of 3, if they met now.
What drives it
- Overall rating
- Rating on this surface
- Ranking
- Previous meetings
Bars to the left favour Mertens E. (green), to the right Svitolina E. (gold).
| Mertens E. wins | Hard | Clay | Grass |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best of 3 | 33% | 33% | 43% |
| Best of 5 | 28% | 27% | 44% |
Their record
| Mertens E. | Svitolina E. | |
|---|---|---|
| All meetings | 4 | 5 |
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 2 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| Premier | 0 | 2 |
| 500 | 2 | 0 |
| 250 | 0 | 2 |
| In finals | 0 | 1 |
Ratings now
| Mertens E. | Svitolina E. | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1804 (516) | 1968 (665) |
| Hard | 1729 (323) | 1903 (445) |
| Clay | 1747 (120) | 1948 (162) |
| Grass | 1746 (73) | 1715 (58) |
| Ranking at last match | 19 | 9 |
Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.
Every meeting (9)
| 4 Jul 2025 | Wimbledon Grand Slam3rd Round | Mertens E. (23) |
| 22 Jun 2025 | Bad Homburg Open 2501st Round | Svitolina E. (14) |
| 5 Apr 2024 | Charleston Open 5003rd Round | Mertens E. (30) |
| 6 Jul 2023 | Wimbledon Grand Slam2nd Round | Svitolina E. (76) |
| 5 Feb 2021 | Gippsland Trophy 500Quarterfinals | Mertens E. (20) |
| 14 Aug 2019 | Western & Southern Financial Group Women's Open Premier2nd Round | Svitolina E. (7) |
| 11 Aug 2018 | Rogers Cup PremierQuarterfinals | Svitolina E. (5) |
| 23 Jan 2018 | Australian Open Grand SlamQuarterfinals | Mertens E. (37) |
| 30 Apr 2017 | Istanbul Cup 250Final | Svitolina E. (13) |
"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.
How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2007, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.