Gauff C. v Sakkari M.
Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.
Gauff C. leads Sakkari M. 6–5 in 11 tour-level meetings; Gauff C. has won the last 3.
Who wins?
fair odds 1.26fair odds 4.92
On hard, best of 3, if they met now.
What drives it
- Overall rating
- Rating on this surface
- Ranking
- Previous meetings
Bars to the left favour Gauff C. (green), to the right Sakkari M. (gold).
| Gauff C. wins | Hard | Clay | Grass |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best of 3 | 80% | 78% | 74% |
| Best of 5 | 85% | 84% | 77% |
Their record
| Gauff C. | Sakkari M. | |
|---|---|---|
| All meetings | 6 | 5 |
| Hard | 5 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| 1000 | 4 | 3 |
| Premier | 1 | 1 |
| 500 | 1 | 1 |
| In finals | 1 | 0 |
Ratings now
| Gauff C. | Sakkari M. | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2051 (392) | 1738 (470) |
| Hard | 2019 (250) | 1732 (291) |
| Clay | 1976 (102) | 1714 (123) |
| Grass | 1746 (40) | 1618 (56) |
| Ranking at last match | 4 | 33 |
Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.
Every meeting (11)
| 8 Aug 2026 | Canadian Open 10003rd Round | Gauff C. (4) |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Miami Open 10003rd Round | Gauff C. (3) |
| 10 Mar 2025 | BNP Paribas Open 10003rd Round | Gauff C. (3) |
| 16 Mar 2024 | BNP Paribas Open 1000Semifinals | Sakkari M. (9) |
| 6 Oct 2023 | China Open PremierQuarterfinals | Gauff C. (3) |
| 6 Aug 2023 | Citi Open 500Final | Gauff C. (7) |
| 12 May 2022 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia 10003rd Round | Sakkari M. (4) |
| 24 Feb 2022 | Qatar Open 1000Quarterfinals | Sakkari M. (6) |
| 12 May 2021 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia 10002nd Round | Gauff C. (35) |
| 9 Jan 2021 | Abu Dhabi WTA Women's Tennis Open 5002nd Round | Sakkari M. (22) |
| 22 Aug 2020 | Western & Southern Financial Group Women's Open Premier1st Round | Sakkari M. (21) |
"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.
How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2007, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.