Bencic B. v Gauff C.
Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.
Gauff C. leads Bencic B. 6–2 in 8 tour-level meetings; Gauff C. has won the last 4.
Who wins?
fair odds 3.08fair odds 1.48
On hard, best of 3, if they met now.
What drives it
- Overall rating
- Rating on this surface
- Ranking
- Previous meetings
Bars to the left favour Bencic B. (green), to the right Gauff C. (gold).
| Bencic B. wins | Hard | Clay | Grass |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best of 3 | 33% | 31% | 40% |
| Best of 5 | 28% | 26% | 41% |
Their record
| Bencic B. | Gauff C. | |
|---|---|---|
| All meetings | 2 | 6 |
| Hard | 2 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| 1000 | 1 | 3 |
| 500 | 1 | 1 |
Plus 1 walkover, not counted.
Ratings now
| Bencic B. | Gauff C. | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1910 (488) | 2051 (392) |
| Hard | 1875 (313) | 2019 (250) |
| Clay | 1786 (96) | 1976 (102) |
| Grass | 1783 (79) | 1746 (40) |
| Ranking at last match | 12 | 4 |
Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.
Every meeting (9)
| 12 Aug 2026 | Canadian Open 1000Quarterfinals | Gauff C. (4) |
| 5 Jul 2026 | Wimbledon Grand Slam4th Round | Gauff C. (7) |
| 24 Mar 2026 | Miami Open 1000Quarterfinals | Gauff C. (4) |
| 30 Sept 2025 | China Open 10004th Round | Gauff C. (3) |
| 28 Apr 2025 | Mutua Madrid Open 10004th Round | Gauff C. (4) |
| 12 Mar 2025 | BNP Paribas Open 10004th Round | Bencic B. (58) |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Australian Open Grand Slam4th Round | Gauff C. (3) |
| 5 Aug 2023 | Citi Open 500Quarterfinals | Gauff C. (7) |
| 26 Feb 2021 | Adelaide International 500Semifinals | Bencic B. (12) |
"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.
How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2007, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.