Azarenka V. v Stephens S.
Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.
Azarenka V. leads Stephens S. 5–4 in 9 tour-level meetings; Azarenka V. has won the last 2.
Who wins?
fair odds 1.50fair odds 3.00
On hard, best of 3, if they met now.
What drives it
- Overall rating
- Rating on this surface
- Ranking
- Previous meetings
Bars to the left favour Azarenka V. (green), to the right Stephens S. (gold).
| Azarenka V. wins | Hard | Clay | Grass |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best of 3 | 67% | 60% | 61% |
| Best of 5 | 73% | 63% | 65% |
Their record
| Azarenka V. | Stephens S. | |
|---|---|---|
| All meetings | 5 | 4 |
| Hard | 3 | 3 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 3 | 1 |
| 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Premier | 0 | 3 |
| 500 | 1 | 0 |
Plus 1 walkover, not counted.
Ratings now
| Azarenka V. | Stephens S. | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1811 (796) | 1636 (551) |
| Hard | 1819 (527) | 1588 (337) |
| Clay | 1773 (182) | 1683 (172) |
| Grass | 1714 (82) | 1586 (42) |
| Ranking at last match | 132 | 169 |
Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.
Every meeting (10)
| 9 Aug 2023 | Canadian Open 10002nd Round | Stephens S. (38) |
| 11 May 2023 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia 10002nd Round | Azarenka V. (17) |
| 5 Apr 2023 | Charleston Open 5002nd Round | Azarenka V. (18) |
| 6 May 2019 | Mutua Madrid Open Premier2nd Round | Stephens S. (8) |
| 31 Aug 2018 | US Open Grand Slam3rd Round | Stephens S. (3) |
| 29 Mar 2018 | Sony Ericsson Open PremierSemifinals | Stephens S. (12) |
| 11 Mar 2018 | BNP Paribas Open Premier2nd Round | Stephens S. (13) |
| 20 Jan 2015 | Australian Open Grand Slam1st Round | Azarenka V. (44) |
| 20 Jan 2014 | Australian Open Grand Slam4th Round | Azarenka V. (2) |
| 24 Jan 2013 | Australian Open Grand SlamSemifinals | Azarenka V. (1) |
"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.
How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2007, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.