Azarenka V. v Pavlyuchenkova A.
Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.
Azarenka V. leads Pavlyuchenkova A. 8–2 in 10 tour-level meetings; Azarenka V. has won the last 3.
Who wins?
fair odds 1.69fair odds 2.46
On hard, best of 3, if they met now.
What drives it
- Overall rating
- Rating on this surface
- Ranking
- Previous meetings
Bars to the left favour Azarenka V. (green), to the right Pavlyuchenkova A. (gold).
| Azarenka V. wins | Hard | Clay | Grass |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best of 3 | 59% | 59% | 56% |
| Best of 5 | 63% | 63% | 58% |
Their record
| Azarenka V. | Pavlyuchenkova A. | |
|---|---|---|
| All meetings | 8 | 2 |
| Hard | 6 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| Premier | 4 | 1 |
| 250 | 1 | 0 |
Plus 1 walkover, not counted.
Ratings now
| Azarenka V. | Pavlyuchenkova A. | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1811 (796) | 1722 (745) |
| Hard | 1819 (527) | 1695 (509) |
| Clay | 1773 (182) | 1652 (173) |
| Grass | 1714 (82) | 1644 (61) |
| Ranking at last match | 132 | 116 |
Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.
Every meeting (11)
| 27 Aug 2025 | US Open Grand Slam2nd Round | Azarenka V. (132) |
| 6 Aug 2024 | Canadian Open 10001st Round | Azarenka V. (19) |
| 20 Feb 2023 | Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships 10001st Round | Azarenka V. (14) |
| 6 Jun 2021 | French Open Grand Slam4th Round | Pavlyuchenkova A. (32) |
| 6 Apr 2019 | Monterrey Open 250Quarterfinals | Azarenka V. (67) |
| 20 Aug 2015 | Western & Southern Financial Group Women's Open Premier3rd Round | Pavlyuchenkova A. (34) |
| 6 May 2013 | Mutua Madrid Open Premier1st Round | Azarenka V. (3) |
| 6 Oct 2011 | China Open Premier3rd Round | Pavlyuchenkova A. (16) |
| 12 May 2011 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia Premier3rd Round | Azarenka V. (4) |
| 28 Mar 2011 | Sony Ericsson Open Premier4th Round | Azarenka V. (8) |
| 27 Mar 2009 | Sony Ericsson Open Premier2nd Round | Azarenka V. (10) |
"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.
How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2007, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.