Anisimova A. v Sabalenka A.
Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.
Anisimova A. leads Sabalenka A. 6–5 in 11 tour-level meetings; Sabalenka A. has won the last 2.
Who wins?
fair odds 3.49fair odds 1.40
On hard, best of 3, if they met now.
What drives it
- Overall rating
- Rating on this surface
- Ranking
- Previous meetings
Bars to the left favour Anisimova A. (green), to the right Sabalenka A. (gold).
| Anisimova A. wins | Hard | Clay | Grass |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best of 3 | 29% | 27% | 36% |
| Best of 5 | 23% | 20% | 35% |
Their record
| Anisimova A. | Sabalenka A. | |
|---|---|---|
| All meetings | 6 | 5 |
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Clay | 3 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 3 | 3 |
| Tour Finals | 0 | 1 |
| 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| 500 | 1 | 0 |
| In finals | 0 | 2 |
Ratings now
| Anisimova A. | Sabalenka A. | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1947 (282) | 2117 (552) |
| Hard | 1921 (175) | 2123 (364) |
| Clay | 1718 (69) | 1996 (127) |
| Grass | 1822 (38) | 1853 (61) |
| Ranking at last match | 10 | 2 |
Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.
Every meeting (11)
| 7 Nov 2025 | WTA Finals Tour FinalsFinal | Sabalenka A. (1) |
| 6 Sept 2025 | US Open Grand SlamFinal | Sabalenka A. (1) |
| 10 Jul 2025 | Wimbledon Grand SlamSemifinals | Anisimova A. (12) |
| 1 Jun 2025 | French Open Grand Slam4th Round | Sabalenka A. (1) |
| 10 Aug 2024 | Canadian Open 1000Quarterfinals | Anisimova A. (132) |
| 21 Jan 2024 | Australian Open Grand Slam4th Round | Sabalenka A. (2) |
| 13 May 2022 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia 1000Quarterfinals | Sabalenka A. (8) |
| 28 Apr 2022 | Mutua Madrid Open 10001st Round | Anisimova A. (33) |
| 7 Apr 2022 | Charleston Open 5003rd Round | Anisimova A. (47) |
| 30 May 2019 | French Open Grand Slam2nd Round | Anisimova A. (51) |
| 18 Jan 2019 | Australian Open Grand Slam3rd Round | Anisimova A. (87) |
"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.
How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2007, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.