Alexandrova E. v Bencic B.
Pick any two players for their record against each other and who our model makes favourite, on each surface.
Bencic B. leads Alexandrova E. 5–4 in 9 tour-level meetings.
Who wins?
fair odds 2.65fair odds 1.61
On hard, best of 3, if they met now.
What drives it
- Overall rating
- Rating on this surface
- Ranking
- Previous meetings
Bars to the left favour Alexandrova E. (green), to the right Bencic B. (gold).
| Alexandrova E. wins | Hard | Clay | Grass |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best of 3 | 38% | 39% | 42% |
| Best of 5 | 34% | 35% | 41% |
Their record
| Alexandrova E. | Bencic B. | |
|---|---|---|
| All meetings | 4 | 5 |
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 2 | 2 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Premier | 1 | 1 |
| 500 | 1 | 3 |
| 250 | 1 | 0 |
Ratings now
| Alexandrova E. | Bencic B. | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1778 (435) | 1910 (488) |
| Hard | 1747 (268) | 1875 (313) |
| Clay | 1667 (101) | 1786 (96) |
| Grass | 1749 (66) | 1783 (79) |
| Ranking at last match | 19 | 12 |
Elo ratings from every tour-level match (matches in brackets). 1500 is a newcomer; the very best are above 2200.
Every meeting (9)
| 7 Jul 2025 | Wimbledon Grand Slam4th Round | Bencic B. (35) |
| 23 Jun 2025 | Bad Homburg Open 2501st Round | Alexandrova E. (18) |
| 7 Apr 2023 | Charleston Open 500Quarterfinals | Bencic B. (11) |
| 26 Mar 2023 | Miami Open 10003rd Round | Alexandrova E. (18) |
| 9 Apr 2022 | Charleston Open 500Semifinals | Bencic B. (21) |
| 18 Jun 2021 | Bett1Open 500Quarterfinals | Bencic B. (12) |
| 22 Apr 2021 | Porsche Tennis Grand Prix 5002nd Round | Alexandrova E. (34) |
| 25 Jun 2019 | Eastbourne International Premier2nd Round | Alexandrova E. (52) |
| 11 Mar 2019 | BNP Paribas Open Premier3rd Round | Bencic B. (23) |
"Model said" is the chance the model gave the eventual winner before the match; red marks an upset.
How the model works: Elo ratings overall and on each surface, built from every tour-level match since 2007, plus ranking, experience, best of five and previous meetings. Tested on 31,944 matches since 2020: it called 64.8% right, against 68.1% for the bookmakers' favourite, and when it says 70% the favourite has won about 70% of the time. It doesn't know about injuries or who's playing well this week. Tour-level main draws. Data: tennis-data.co.uk.