FixtureSharkResults & Predictions

International · Nations League

Nations League 2026/27

Still to be decided. 54 teams, 104 games, 2.46 goals a game.

League phase

League A

Group A1

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
France	4	3	1	0	+5	10
Italy	4	2	1	1	+3	7
Belgium	4	2	0	2	+1	6
Turkey	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Chances: where each team finishes

Team	Quarter-finals	Stays up	Play-off	Relegated	Pts
France	>99%	<1%	–	–	14.5
Belgium	60%	35%	4%	–	9.7
Italy	40%	56%	4%	–	8.8
Turkey	–	–	28%	72%	1.2

League A: the top two in each group reach the quarter-finals. The thirds and fourths are ranked across the four groups: the best two thirds stay up, the other two thirds and the best two fourths go into play-offs with League B’s runners-up, and the worst two fourths are relegated.

2026-11-12 17:00Turkey v BelgiumGroup A1 · Gürsel Aksel StadiumTurkey 22% · Draw 26% · Belgium 52%Expected goals 1.0–1.6Likeliest 1–1 (12%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-12 19:45Italy v FranceGroup A1 · Stadio San SiroItaly 22% · Draw 25% · France 53%Expected goals 1.0–1.7Likeliest 1–1 (12%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-15 19:45France v TurkeyGroup A1 · Stade de BordeauxFrance 84% · Draw 12% · Turkey 5%Expected goals 2.8–0.6Likeliest 2–0 (14%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-15 19:45Belgium v ItalyGroup A1 · King Baudouin StadiumBelgium 54% · Draw 25% · Italy 22%Expected goals 1.8–1.0Likeliest 1–1 (12%)Preview & head to head

Group A2

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Netherlands	4	2	2	0	+2	8
Greece	4	2	2	0	+2	8
Germany	4	1	2	1	+1	5
Serbia	4	0	0	4	-5	0

Chances: where each team finishes

Team	Quarter-finals	Stays up	Play-off	Relegated	Pts
Netherlands	86%	14%	<1%	–	11.6
Greece	79%	21%	<1%	–	10.6
Germany	35%	49%	16%	–	8.3
Serbia	–	<1%	61%	39%	1.6

League A: the top two in each group reach the quarter-finals. The thirds and fourths are ranked across the four groups: the best two thirds stay up, the other two thirds and the best two fourths go into play-offs with League B’s runners-up, and the worst two fourths are relegated.

2026-11-13 19:45Netherlands v GreeceGroup A2 · Johan Cruijff ArenANetherlands 68% · Draw 20% · Greece 12%Expected goals 2.1–0.8Likeliest 2–0 (12%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-13 19:45Serbia v GermanyGroup A2 · Stadion Rajko MiticSerbia 20% · Draw 25% · Germany 55%Expected goals 0.9–1.7Likeliest 1–1 (12%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-16 19:45Germany v NetherlandsGroup A2 · OlympiastadionGermany 36% · Draw 27% · Netherlands 37%Expected goals 1.3–1.3Likeliest 1–1 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-16 19:45Greece v SerbiaGroup A2 · PanthessalikoGreece 60% · Draw 23% · Serbia 17%Expected goals 1.9–0.9Likeliest 2–0 (11%)Preview & head to head

Group A3

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Spain	4	4	0	0	+7	12
England	4	3	0	1	+11	9
Croatia	4	1	0	3	-10	3
Czech Republic	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Chances: where each team finishes

Team	Quarter-finals	Stays up	Play-off	Relegated	Pts
Spain	100%	–	–	–	16.9
England	100%	–	–	–	12.2
Croatia	–	6%	90%	4%	5.6
Czech Republic	–	–	17%	83%	0.6

League A: the top two in each group reach the quarter-finals. The thirds and fourths are ranked across the four groups: the best two thirds stay up, the other two thirds and the best two fourths go into play-offs with League B’s runners-up, and the worst two fourths are relegated.

2026-11-12 19:45Czech Republic v SpainGroup A3 · Stadion LetnáCzech Republic 2% · Draw 6% · Spain 92%Expected goals 0.4–3.5Likeliest 0–3 (15%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-12 19:45England v CroatiaGroup A3 · Wembley StadiumEngland 80% · Draw 14% · Croatia 6%Expected goals 2.6–0.6Likeliest 2–0 (14%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-15 19:45Croatia v Czech RepublicGroup A3 · Opus ArenaCroatia 70% · Draw 19% · Czech Republic 11%Expected goals 2.2–0.8Likeliest 2–0 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-15 19:45Spain v EnglandGroup A3 · Estadio MetropolitanoSpain 63% · Draw 22% · England 15%Expected goals 2.0–0.9Likeliest 2–0 (11%)Preview & head to head

Group A4

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Portugal	4	4	0	0	+5	12
Denmark	4	2	0	2	0	6
Norway	4	1	0	3	-2	3
Wales	4	1	0	3	-3	3

Chances: where each team finishes

Team	Quarter-finals	Stays up	Play-off	Relegated	Pts
Portugal	100%	–	–	–	16.7
Denmark	55%	10%	35%	–	8.0
Norway	44%	8%	48%	<1%	6.7
Wales	1%	1%	96%	2%	3.9

League A: the top two in each group reach the quarter-finals. The thirds and fourths are ranked across the four groups: the best two thirds stay up, the other two thirds and the best two fourths go into play-offs with League B’s runners-up, and the worst two fourths are relegated.

2026-11-14 17:00Norway v WalesGroup A4 · Ullevaal StadionNorway 73% · Draw 18% · Wales 9%Expected goals 2.3–0.7Likeliest 2–0 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-14 19:45Portugal v DenmarkGroup A4 · Estádio Municipal de BragaPortugal 70% · Draw 19% · Denmark 11%Expected goals 2.2–0.8Likeliest 2–0 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-17 19:45Denmark v NorwayGroup A4 · ParkenDenmark 39% · Draw 27% · Norway 34%Expected goals 1.4–1.3Likeliest 1–1 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-17 19:45Wales v PortugalGroup A4 · Cardiff City StadiumWales 9% · Draw 18% · Portugal 73%Expected goals 0.7–2.3Likeliest 0–2 (14%)Preview & head to head

League B

Group B1

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Switzerland	4	4	0	0	+10	12
Slovenia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
Scotland	4	1	1	2	-2	4
North Macedonia	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Chances: where each team finishes

Team	Promoted	Play-off A/B	Stays in B	Play-off B/C	Pts
Switzerland	99%	1%	–	–	16.5
Slovenia	1%	91%	9%	–	9.5
Scotland	–	9%	89%	3%	6.7
North Macedonia	–	–	3%	97%	1.5

2026-11-13 19:45Scotland v North MacedoniaGroup B1 · Hampden ParkScotland 70% · Draw 19% · North Macedonia 11%Expected goals 2.2–0.8Likeliest 2–0 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-13 19:45Slovenia v SwitzerlandGroup B1 · Stadion StožiceSlovenia 16% · Draw 23% · Switzerland 61%Expected goals 0.8–1.9Likeliest 0–1 (12%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-16 19:45Switzerland v ScotlandGroup B1 · SitterstadionSwitzerland 76% · Draw 16% · Scotland 8%Expected goals 2.5–0.7Likeliest 2–0 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-16 19:45North Macedonia v SloveniaGroup B1 · National Arena Todor Proeski North Macedonia 24% · Draw 26% · Slovenia 50%Expected goals 1.0–1.6Likeliest 1–1 (12%)Preview & head to head

Group B2

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Northern Ireland	4	2	2	0	+4	8
Hungary	4	2	1	1	+1	7
Ukraine	4	1	1	2	-3	4
Georgia	4	0	2	2	-2	2

Chances: where each team finishes

Team	Promoted	Play-off A/B	Stays in B	Play-off B/C	Pts
Northern Ireland	49%	37%	14%	–	10.3
Hungary	47%	41%	12%	<1%	10.3
Ukraine	4%	19%	58%	18%	7.3
Georgia	–	3%	16%	81%	4.0

2026-11-14 17:00Georgia v HungaryGroup B2 · Boris Paichadze National Stadium Dinamo ArenaGeorgia 33% · Draw 27% · Hungary 40%Expected goals 1.3–1.4Likeliest 1–1 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-14 19:45Northern Ireland v UkraineGroup B2 · National Football Stadium at Windsor ParkNorthern Ireland 38% · Draw 27% · Ukraine 34%Expected goals 1.4–1.3Likeliest 1–1 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-17 19:45Ukraine v GeorgiaGroup B2 · Košická futbalová arénaUkraine 59% · Draw 23% · Georgia 18%Expected goals 1.9–0.9Likeliest 1–1 (11%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-17 19:45Hungary v Northern IrelandGroup B2 · Puskás ArénaHungary 53% · Draw 25% · Northern Ireland 22%Expected goals 1.7–1.1Likeliest 1–1 (12%)Preview & head to head

Group B3

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Austria	4	2	2	0	+4	8
Republic of Ireland	4	1	2	1	+2	5
Kosovo	4	1	2	1	-1	5
Israel	4	0	2	2	-5	2

Chances: where each team finishes

Team	Promoted	Play-off A/B	Stays in B	Play-off B/C	Pts
Austria	89%	10%	1%	–	12.0
Kosovo	3%	42%	47%	7%	8.1
Republic of Ireland	8%	47%	43%	3%	7.3
Israel	–	1%	9%	90%	3.6

2026-11-14 14:00Kosovo v IsraelGroup B3 · Stadiumi Fadil VokrriKosovo 58% · Draw 24% · Israel 19%Expected goals 1.9–0.9Likeliest 1–1 (11%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-14 19:45Austria v Republic of IrelandGroup B3 · Oberösterreich ArenaAustria 63% · Draw 22% · Republic of Ireland 15%Expected goals 2.0–0.9Likeliest 2–0 (11%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-17 19:45Israel v AustriaGroup B3 · Nagyerdei StadionIsrael 19% · Draw 24% · Austria 57%Expected goals 0.9–1.8Likeliest 1–1 (12%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-17 19:45Republic of Ireland v KosovoGroup B3 · Aviva StadiumRepublic of Ireland 46% · Draw 26% · Kosovo 28%Expected goals 1.6–1.2Likeliest 1–1 (12%)Preview & head to head

Group B4

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Sweden	4	3	1	0	+4	10
Bosnia and Herzegovina	4	2	2	0	+3	8
Poland	4	1	1	2	+3	4
Romania	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Chances: where each team finishes

Team	Promoted	Play-off A/B	Stays in B	Play-off B/C	Pts
Sweden	78%	20%	3%	–	13.4
Bosnia and Herzegovina	22%	71%	7%	–	10.8
Poland	–	9%	88%	3%	6.9
Romania	–	–	3%	97%	1.8

2026-11-14 19:45Sweden v Bosnia and HerzegovinaGroup B4 · Strawberry ArenaSweden 59% · Draw 23% · Bosnia and Herzegovina 18%Expected goals 1.9–0.9Likeliest 1–1 (11%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-14 19:45Romania v PolandGroup B4 · National Arena BucharestRomania 29% · Draw 27% · Poland 44%Expected goals 1.2–1.5Likeliest 1–1 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-17 19:45Bosnia and Herzegovina v RomaniaGroup B4 · Stadion Bilino PoljeBosnia and Herzegovina 62% · Draw 22% · Romania 16%Expected goals 1.9–0.9Likeliest 2–0 (11%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-17 19:45Poland v SwedenGroup B4 · Stadion Miejski we WroclawiuPoland 34% · Draw 27% · Sweden 39%Expected goals 1.3–1.4Likeliest 1–1 (13%)Preview & head to head

League C

Group C1

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Albania	4	3	0	1	+5	9
Finland	4	2	1	1	+7	7
Belarus	4	2	1	1	+3	7
San Marino	4	0	0	4	-15	0

Chances: where each team finishes

Team	Promoted	Play-off B/C	Stays in C	Pts
Albania	46%	29%	25%	12.3
Belarus	29%	33%	38%	11.3
Finland	25%	38%	37%	10.8
San Marino	–	–	100%	0.1

2026-11-12 19:45Albania v FinlandGroup C1 · Arena KombëtareAlbania 56% · Draw 24% · Finland 20%Expected goals 1.8–1.0Likeliest 1–1 (12%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-12 19:45San Marino v BelarusGroup C1 · San Marino StadiumSan Marino 1% · Draw 4% · Belarus 95%Expected goals 0.3–3.9Likeliest 0–3 (15%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-15 17:00Finland v San MarinoGroup C1 · Helsinki Football StadiumFinland 98% · Draw 1% · San Marino <1%Expected goals 5.0–0.3Likeliest 5–0 (14%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-15 17:00Belarus v AlbaniaGroup C1 · Illovszky Rudolf Stadion Belarus 37% · Draw 27% · Albania 36%Expected goals 1.3–1.3Likeliest 1–1 (13%)Preview & head to head

Group C2

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Montenegro	4	3	1	0	+3	10
Cyprus	4	2	1	1	+2	7
Armenia	4	1	1	2	-1	4
Latvia	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Chances: where each team finishes

Team	Promoted	Play-off B/C	Stays in C	Pts
Montenegro	92%	8%	<1%	14.1
Cyprus	8%	60%	32%	9.2
Armenia	<1%	32%	68%	7.2
Latvia	–	<1%	>99%	2.6

2026-11-12 17:00Armenia v CyprusGroup C2 · Republican Stadium after Vazgen SargsyanArmenia 47% · Draw 26% · Cyprus 27%Expected goals 1.6–1.2Likeliest 1–1 (12%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-12 19:45Montenegro v LatviaGroup C2 · Gradski Stadion PodgoricaMontenegro 76% · Draw 16% · Latvia 8%Expected goals 2.4–0.7Likeliest 2–0 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-15 14:00Latvia v ArmeniaGroup C2 · Skonto StadionsLatvia 31% · Draw 27% · Armenia 42%Expected goals 1.2–1.4Likeliest 1–1 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-15 14:00Cyprus v MontenegroGroup C2 · Limassol StadiumCyprus 28% · Draw 27% · Montenegro 45%Expected goals 1.1–1.5Likeliest 1–1 (13%)Preview & head to head

Group C3

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Slovakia	4	3	1	0	+7	10
Faroe Islands	4	0	4	0	0	4
Moldova	4	1	1	2	-5	4
Kazakhstan	4	0	2	2	-2	2

Chances: where each team finishes

Team	Promoted	Play-off B/C	Stays in C	Pts
Slovakia	>99%	<1%	–	14.6
Faroe Islands	<1%	62%	37%	6.4
Moldova	–	26%	74%	5.9
Kazakhstan	–	11%	89%	4.3

2026-11-13 17:00Moldova v KazakhstanGroup C3 · Stadionul ZimbruMoldova 30% · Draw 27% · Kazakhstan 43%Expected goals 1.2–1.5Likeliest 1–1 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-13 19:45Slovakia v Faroe IslandsGroup C3 · Košická futbalová arénaSlovakia 79% · Draw 15% · Faroe Islands 7%Expected goals 2.5–0.6Likeliest 2–0 (14%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-16 15:00Faroe Islands v MoldovaGroup C3 · TórsvøllurFaroe Islands 60% · Draw 23% · Moldova 17%Expected goals 1.9–0.9Likeliest 1–1 (11%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-16 15:00Kazakhstan v SlovakiaGroup C3 · Astana ArenaKazakhstan 16% · Draw 23% · Slovakia 61%Expected goals 0.8–1.9Likeliest 0–1 (12%)Preview & head to head

Group C4

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Iceland	4	2	2	0	+6	8
Estonia	4	1	3	0	+1	6
Bulgaria	4	1	1	2	-2	4
Luxembourg	4	1	0	3	-5	3

Chances: where each team finishes

Team	Promoted	Play-off B/C	Stays in C	Pts
Iceland	90%	9%	1%	12.0
Estonia	7%	66%	26%	8.8
Bulgaria	2%	22%	76%	6.4
Luxembourg	<1%	3%	97%	4.8

2026-11-13 19:45Luxembourg v EstoniaGroup C4 · Stade de LuxembourgLuxembourg 38% · Draw 27% · Estonia 35%Expected goals 1.4–1.3Likeliest 1–1 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-13 19:45Bulgaria v IcelandGroup C4 · Hristo Botev StadiumBulgaria 29% · Draw 27% · Iceland 45%Expected goals 1.1–1.5Likeliest 1–1 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-16 17:00Iceland v LuxembourgGroup C4 · LaugardalsvöllurIceland 76% · Draw 16% · Luxembourg 8%Expected goals 2.4–0.7Likeliest 2–0 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-16 17:00Estonia v BulgariaGroup C4 · Lilleküla StadiumEstonia 39% · Draw 27% · Bulgaria 34%Expected goals 1.4–1.3Likeliest 1–1 (13%)Preview & head to head

League D

Group D1

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Malta	3	2	1	0	+2	7
Gibraltar	2	0	2	0	0	2
Andorra	3	0	1	2	-2	1

Chances: where each team finishes

Team	Promoted to C	Pts
Malta	100%	8.9
Gibraltar	100%	4.0
Andorra	100%	2.5

League D: every team moves up to League C as the competition shrinks to three leagues from 2028/29.

2026-11-13 19:45Andorra v GibraltarGroup D1 · Estadi FAFAndorra 43% · Draw 27% · Gibraltar 31%Expected goals 1.5–1.2Likeliest 1–1 (13%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-16 19:45Gibraltar v MaltaGroup D1 · Europa Point StadiumGibraltar 21% · Draw 25% · Malta 53%Expected goals 1.0–1.7Likeliest 1–1 (12%)Preview & head to head

Group D2

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Azerbaijan	3	1	2	0	+1	5
Lithuania	3	1	1	1	+1	4
Liechtenstein	2	0	1	1	-2	1

Chances: where each team finishes

Team	Promoted to C	Pts
Azerbaijan	100%	7.5
Lithuania	100%	6.7
Liechtenstein	100%	1.6

League D: every team moves up to League C as the competition shrinks to three leagues from 2028/29.

2026-11-13 19:45Liechtenstein v AzerbaijanGroup D2 · Rheinpark StadionLiechtenstein 7% · Draw 15% · Azerbaijan 78%Expected goals 0.6–2.5Likeliest 0–2 (14%)Preview & head to head
2026-11-16 17:00Lithuania v LiechtensteinGroup D2 · Dariaus ir Gireno StadionasLithuania 86% · Draw 10% · Liechtenstein 4%Expected goals 3.0–0.5Likeliest 2–0 (14%)Preview & head to head

Chances: the rest of the league phase played out 10,000 times with each game’s win/draw/loss and score probabilities from FixtureShark’s model (IP1, built on Elo ratings); ties split by goal difference and goals scored, not head-to-head. 3 points for a win. Ordered by points, goal difference, then goals scored; the official tie-breakers vary by tournament, so “through” is taken from who played in the next round.

Upsets

2026-09-25Georgia 0–1 Northern IrelandUpsetGroup B2 · Tbilisi70%
2026-09-26Bulgaria 1–2 LuxembourgUpsetGroup C4 · Plovdiv73%
2026-09-27Germany 0–1 GreeceUpsetGroup A2 · Augsburg82%
2026-10-01Wales 2–1 NorwayUpsetGroup A4 · Cardiff27%
2026-10-02Kazakhstan 1–2 MoldovaUpsetGroup C3 · Astana84%
2026-10-02Ukraine 0–3 Northern IrelandUpsetGroup B2 · Trnava73%
2026-10-06Scotland 1–2 SloveniaUpsetGroup B1 · Glasgow73%

Winners whose Elo expectation before the game was under 30%.

Results: martj42/international_results (CC0), men’s full internationals since 1872. Rounds and groups: openfootball (CC0). Fixtures: fixturedownload.com.