Chelsea v Aston Villa

Premier League · Matchweek 16 ·

Prediction made · model fit #932

Where to watch (UK)

Broadcast details not yet confirmed

Prediction

The model gives Chelsea a 45.4% chance of winning, 24.9% for a draw, and 29.7% for Aston Villa. Expected goals: 1.86 – 1.49. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.0%.

Outcome probabilities

OutcomeProbability
Chelsea win45.4%
Draw24.9%
Aston Villa win29.7%