Tottenham v Aston Villa

Premier League · Matchweek 5 ·

Prediction made · model fit #78

Result

Tottenham 2–3 Aston Villa

What the model predicted beforehand

The model gave Tottenham a 30.1% chance of winning, 30.0% for a draw, and 39.9% for Aston Villa. Expected goals: 1.19 – 1.40. The single most likely scoreline was 1–1 at 14.3%.

Outcome probabilities

OutcomeProbability
Tottenham win30.1%
Draw30.0%
Aston Villa win39.9%