Newcastle v Liverpool

Premier League · Matchweek 1 ·

Prediction made · model fit #224

Result

Newcastle 2–2 Liverpool

What the model predicted beforehand

The model gave Newcastle a 36.5% chance of winning, 25.4% for a draw, and 38.1% for Liverpool. Expected goals: 1.65 – 1.68. The single most likely scoreline was 1–1 at 11.2%.

Outcome probabilities

OutcomeProbability
Newcastle win36.5%
Draw25.4%
Liverpool win38.1%