Newcastle v Hull

Premier League · Matchweek 5 ·

Prediction made · model fit #78

Result

Newcastle 2–1 Hull

What the model predicted beforehand

The model gave Newcastle a 49.5% chance of winning, 25.5% for a draw, and 25.1% for Hull. Expected goals: 1.88 – 1.30. The single most likely scoreline was 1–1 at 11.6%.

Outcome probabilities

OutcomeProbability
Newcastle win49.5%
Draw25.5%
Hull win25.1%