Manchester United v Manchester City
Premier League · Matchweek 4 ·
Prediction made · model fit #230
Result
Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City
What the model predicted beforehand
The model gave Manchester United a 28.2% chance of winning, 25.6% for a draw, and 46.2% for Manchester City. Expected goals: 1.39 – 1.82. The single most likely scoreline was 1–1 at 11.6%.
Outcome probabilities
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Manchester United win | 28.2% |
| Draw | 25.6% |
| Manchester City win | 46.2% |