Manchester City v Sunderland

Premier League · Matchweek 5 ·

Prediction made · model fit #83

Result

Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland

What the model predicted beforehand

The model gave Manchester City a 68.9% chance of winning, 21.8% for a draw, and 9.4% for Sunderland. Expected goals: 2.05 – 0.65. The single most likely scoreline was 2–0 at 14.1%.

Outcome probabilities

OutcomeProbability
Manchester City win68.9%
Draw21.8%
Sunderland win9.4%