Leeds v Newcastle

Premier League · Matchweek 4 ·

Prediction made · model fit #11

Result

Leeds 4–1 Newcastle

What the model predicted beforehand

The model gave Leeds a 38.5% chance of winning, 29.6% for a draw, and 31.9% for Newcastle. Expected goals: 1.42 – 1.28. The single most likely scoreline was 1–1 at 14.2%.

Outcome probabilities

OutcomeProbability
Leeds win38.5%
Draw29.6%
Newcastle win31.9%