Everton v Manchester United

Premier League · Matchweek 3 ·

Prediction made · model fit #228

Result

Everton 2–2 Manchester United

What the model predicted beforehand

The model gave Everton a 33.8% chance of winning, 28.0% for a draw, and 38.2% for Manchester United. Expected goals: 1.32 – 1.42. The single most likely scoreline was 1–1 at 13.3%.

Outcome probabilities

OutcomeProbability
Everton win33.8%
Draw28.0%
Manchester United win38.2%