Brighton v Aston Villa

Premier League · Matchweek 1 ·

Prediction made · model fit #224

Result

Brighton 4–0 Aston Villa

What the model predicted beforehand

The model gave Brighton a 40.6% chance of winning, 28.4% for a draw, and 31.0% for Aston Villa. Expected goals: 1.48 – 1.27. The single most likely scoreline was 1–1 at 13.5%.

Outcome probabilities

OutcomeProbability
Brighton win40.6%
Draw28.4%
Aston Villa win31.0%