Brighton v Arsenal

Premier League · Matchweek 5 ·

Prediction made · model fit #78

Result

Brighton 3–0 Arsenal

What the model predicted beforehand

The model gave Brighton a 19.4% chance of winning, 30.6% for a draw, and 50.0% for Arsenal. Expected goals: 0.81 – 1.44. The single most likely scoreline was 1–1 at 14.1%.

Outcome probabilities

OutcomeProbability
Brighton win19.4%
Draw30.6%
Arsenal win50.0%