Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest
Premier League · Matchweek 4 ·
Prediction made · model fit #230
Result
Aston Villa 1–2 Nottingham Forest
What the model predicted beforehand
The model gave Aston Villa a 39.1% chance of winning, 29.8% for a draw, and 31.1% for Nottingham Forest. Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.20. The single most likely scoreline was 1–1 at 14.3%.
Outcome probabilities
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Aston Villa win | 39.1% |
| Draw | 29.8% |
| Nottingham Forest win | 31.1% |