Arsenal v Chelsea

Premier League · Matchweek 3 ·

Prediction made · model fit #228

Result

Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea

What the model predicted beforehand

The model gave Arsenal a 66.1% chance of winning, 21.8% for a draw, and 12.0% for Chelsea. Expected goals: 2.04 – 0.76. The single most likely scoreline was 2–0 at 12.6%.

Outcome probabilities

OutcomeProbability
Arsenal win66.1%
Draw21.8%
Chelsea win12.0%